Evaluated with SamIam

PoE of Earthquake:

Earthquake: TRUE
0.002

Earthquake: FALSE
0.9979

Earthquake: False Burglary: False
0.997

BaumCalls: True
0.0521

ALL: FALSE
0.9367

Prior Marginal:

Alarm: 0.25 99.75
BaumCalls: 5.21 94.79
JohnCalls: 1.17 98.83


Posterior Marginal:

BaumCalls: False Burglary: False

Earthquake: 0.19 99.81
Alarm: 62.26 37.74
JohnCalls: 43.96 56.04

BaumCalls: True JohnCalls: True

Earthquake: 17.61 82.39
Burglary: 28.42 71.58
Alarm: 76.07 23.93